Mobile Web to Surpass Desktop Web by 2013
Mobile phones will overtake PCs as the most common Web access devices worldwide by 2013, according to a new forecast by research firm Gartner. That's an even more aggressive outlook than Morgan Stanley's projection that the mobile Web will outstrip the desktop Web in five years.
Gartner estimates the combined installed base of smartphones and browser-equipped enhanced phones will surpass 1.82 billion units by 2013, eclipsing the total of 1.78 billion PCs by then.
I've had an iPhone since Day One, and it soon became obvious how desperate smartphone manufacturers were to catch up. Apple set the mobile web growth momentum to such a pace that I'm not surprised at Gartner's forecast.
And I wouldn't be surprised if it happened even sooner. What do you think?
